Forecast discussions are custom personalized weather forecasts that can be targeted to meet specific needs. Included here is a ski area forecast example: An upper level low pressure system currently sitting over Northern Utah is moving northeastward and will track into Wyoming and South Dakota by tonight. This storm track is not conducive to heavy snow over the Colorado Front Range mountains. Heavy snow with this system will fall over Wyoming and Montana where winter storm warnings are currently in effect with up to 2 feet of snowfall forecast for mountain areas. There will however, be enough lift, instability, and cold air over the northern Colorado mountains for occasional snow showers this afternoon and tonight as a cold front pushes through dropping the snow levels from 10,000 ft to 8,500 ft tonight. Accumulations will be light with an inch or so possible, but maybe a few inches if a band of snow were to hang around long enough. Snowmaking will be possible tonight as the wet bulb temperatures fall to the lower 20’s by 9pm.
For Tuesday & Wednesday, Colorado will be in between 2 weather systems with our current weather maker pushing off into the Great Lakes region and a new low pressure system will form over the southern California region. This will mean drying and warming trend for Tuesday and Wednesday. Temperatures will warm back up into the 40s and 50s during the day, but overnight temperatures will still fall into the mid 20s. Snowmaking will be possible from Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning and then again during the overnight hours on Wednesday into Thursday morning. It will be a bit breezy overnight Wednesday with west winds in the 15-20 kt range.
Long term: After a couple of warmer and dry days on Tuesday and Wednesday, another storm system will move in from the west by Thursday evening,which will bring colder temperatures and an increasing chance for natural snowfall. At this point in time the system appears to be fast moving and lacking moisture with only a few inches of snowfall (Thur evening and Thur night) with the initial storm system. There will be, however, a nice broad trough of low pressure sitting over the northern Plains with a cold northwesterly upper level flow over Colorado from Fri-Sun. Within this flow there will be weak disturbances passing through giving us the chance for light snowfall each day. By Saturday night into Sunday, the forecast models are hinting at the possibility for a stronger storm system including heavier snowfall with upslope (NE) flow into the Front Range. It is a ways out in time, but it’s definitely worth keeping our eyes on.